I recently ran into a very interesting article by Glyn Davis, Vice Chancellor of the University of Melbourne, entitled The rising phoenix of competition: what futures for Australia’s public universities? It appeared in the Autumn 2006 edition of the Griffith Review. Davis is a very thoughtful higher education leader who tries to peer into the future of higher education in Australia. A number of his other presentations can be found on the University of Melbourne "Speeches" site
In this article, Davis gives a very nice sketch of the history and present organization and status of higher education in Australia. He describes government policies that have tended to force all of Australian higher education (both public and private) into a Humboltian model of the research university. He also explains how government funding policies have pushed Australian universities to aggressively search out international students. Then, backing off to take a more global (literally) view, he describes the internal and external forces that are making this model unsustainable.
His perspective is particularly worthwhile since Australia has been perhaps the most aggressive country in reaching out to international students both at home and abroad- what might be seen as the first stage of globalization of higher education. Davis's concerns focus on the effects of increasing competition and educational innovation that globalization will bring to bear on the Australian model as globalization of higher education moves on to the next stage.